Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 1:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 1:37:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 1:38:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 213.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
3.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
213.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 214 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 1:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
213.71 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
95.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
61.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
56.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
8,299.56 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:36:42 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
69.9 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:35:30 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
213.71 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:37:53 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
9,599.42 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:39:04 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate9 tx
9,743.32 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:34:18 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
93.96 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:40:17 P.M.
-4 min
11 tx
3,770.07 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:33:06 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:41:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
95.6 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:37:13 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
61.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:37:19 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002b007ed7e86f665d3da1aa44b02fdb832f9d8a41ae06d4bfcf1ea8dbbd386a
95.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:37:13 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005d0074ed6b5b5244a187dfac7ceddb4a25be3b2e931eda587eef1edf532ffc
56.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:37:13 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003400245a40392550b1c3a41581968f8dd2b4f9b3f347be872c0cdb5e02a818