Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 1:36:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 1:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,299.56
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
8,299.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8300 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,032.84 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
2,033.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,078.38 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
237.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,032.84 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
69.9 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:35:30 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
8,299.56 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:36:42 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate9 tx
9,743.32 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:34:18 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
213.71 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:37:53 P.M.
-3 min
11 tx
3,770.07 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:33:06 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
9,599.42 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:39:04 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
603.88 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:31:54 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
93.96 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:40:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
30.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:39 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005500754449e2e517e9fc2ffa8a9b02731ce601ea9090ab1b129e4ed517352a
237.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001f003bd0cb7e3bd1e34a57e12095ed4a8b7568da80651e33f5e873cddda55b
182.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0052007a4060de629740b89131c97b6974ec66232454964581d5af335a66ac6d
81.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0073004a11fc3658e35f7842ca59a4c7a3f843446fc72e9c2aae49b39d75d21a
173.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0060000064b9af646c16fa8897a3be4371943bbb847162fe2eb6aa91cd66f95b
107.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005600795a1f2b2773eca485573e58d7ffac211b94a416ab8644190b89fbdc53
228.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000c001e5d1d22c2aa14617f8c0fe16d40975655801b8f83eff3b531f0bbb14b
159.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001c001e5c479c74e011a5728fc15fccc93ffdc3016c9a73ecc64cf0f34f1c8a
65.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007b0057dda782f610ee3521dc11aab535679ad044094770b6c9b076b2fc8811
4,999.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0008005113d4861cb48f7fa8745c99fb80abaa5743511866f3237e2819556e14
2,033.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002900561573c1d320b5229afe86a0a7fea34446cf8338cd6330aa04d822899c
