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Spike bucket

09/19/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/19/2026, 1:36:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 1:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,299.56
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
8,299.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8300 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,032.84 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
2,033.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,078.38 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
237.78 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,032.84 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

4,999.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

11 transactions
30.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:39 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005500754449e2e517e9fc2ffa8a9b02731ce601ea9090ab1b129e4ed517352a
237.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001f003bd0cb7e3bd1e34a57e12095ed4a8b7568da80651e33f5e873cddda55b
182.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0052007a4060de629740b89131c97b6974ec66232454964581d5af335a66ac6d
81.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0073004a11fc3658e35f7842ca59a4c7a3f843446fc72e9c2aae49b39d75d21a
173.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0060000064b9af646c16fa8897a3be4371943bbb847162fe2eb6aa91cd66f95b
107.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005600795a1f2b2773eca485573e58d7ffac211b94a416ab8644190b89fbdc53
228.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000c001e5d1d22c2aa14617f8c0fe16d40975655801b8f83eff3b531f0bbb14b
159.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001c001e5c479c74e011a5728fc15fccc93ffdc3016c9a73ecc64cf0f34f1c8a
65.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007b0057dda782f610ee3521dc11aab535679ad044094770b6c9b076b2fc8811
4,999.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0008005113d4861cb48f7fa8745c99fb80abaa5743511866f3237e2819556e14
Open txWallet profile
2,033.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:36:24 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002900561573c1d320b5229afe86a0a7fea34446cf8338cd6330aa04d822899c
Open txWallet profile