Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 1:05:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 1:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,467.94
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.4x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
56
Observable rows
10
17.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
71
Asset volume
2,112 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 2112 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,463.13 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
692.25 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
248.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
247.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,463.13 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
56 tx
2,112 QUAI • 71 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:05:04 P.M.
-1 min
57 tx
1,556.19 QUAI • 72 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:03:51 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate10 tx
21,467.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:06:16 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
20,677.03 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:02:38 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
2,139.81 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:07:28 P.M.
-4 min
10 tx
20,845.16 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:01:17 P.M.
+4 min
9 tx
1,104.99 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:08:40 P.M.
-5 min
9 tx
996.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:00:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.48 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
64.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0016004e1079ad6b7e1960587561615c42922fdad081b7eca16698e56f677e4d
247.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x006400176c3504f2493145547d0bd789e5d9d2275707e6cc68b9917ecb81eb13
242.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0061006f102ff698270b9f8b7812d7f6b58cb331e88be21ac313390a9077e879
143.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003f003b1ef1592805684057999ab7c8826850e104fbc7230adbe03a8a30e78a
104.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00150018b940d9dcc6d3374ee243cdc0ac208aa0377191610298723d3929f3f8
202.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0035005c9a9fff8d01f3f7fc020929ac2f73a773103d946ad0fcd37f182d938d
99.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e0043a6b429c36950c09555ea8a71f00d4f74ae4c5665fc80b865b4df8aee
19,998.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d007d0dd2834130add355e32c01ad92f5da9caa120e6c7d7617c5a2c210ee
248.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035003a87c36c536b7187cd3e5c32ac254e898e7655e5f3d2fd49a191c1402e
116.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:05:53 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f0055af3cc8abe0fb853643b3bd4bdcae474f2276cfe0bb2f19b397d3c06d