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Spike bucket

09/19/2026, 12:51:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/19/2026, 12:51:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 12:52:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 72,145.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
72,145.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 72145 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 12:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
39,994.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net receiver
Unknown type
39,994.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
31,259.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0053d4764AC0842742EC14d8a16f16D02A9823a1
Net receiver
Unknown type
31,259.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
458.04 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Actor intelligenceWallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 39,994.3 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Alert contextSignal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min-5 min-1 min+1 min+5 min+15 minRaw alerts API

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
8 tx
57,939.13 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:50:26 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
72,145.35 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:51:38 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
917.17 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:49:14 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:52:50 P.M.
-3 min
13 tx
21,630.96 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:48:02 P.M.
+3 min
10 tx
1,549.38 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:54:02 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:46:50 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
1,075.61 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:55:13 P.M.

Biggest whale alert

39,994.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:51:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
133.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:51:17 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0044005d4be0c5191fc487bc4802ce1dbd3aa29fded7a5234e91c8d387197f0c
Open tx
39,994.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:51:17 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Tx: 0x0056006861508c52a188a27d8661a441fdb61f05700469b97e7b2facc2df5e3c
Open txWallet profile
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:51:17 P.M.
From: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
To: 0x000C46791843C91FcdD5BEFfCBC0208478343a91
Tx: 0x005b0030252486dd5c1e45b8bf382fc802543782d0281bf557140b45735eefe9
Open tx
142.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:51:09 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005e0035d42097073da47acbc18effe65573e3bf75f02ecd485ad43c6132db2d
Open tx
75.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:51:09 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00410026c8d86a8cd47b5f4d31be1c44c03396cccaaf9e317941e02d6dbf6ee7
Open tx
239.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:51:09 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002200556ea9c4d24787355ea4c6e5e75d83501ce2f05d6637fb6816051239bd
Open tx
31,259.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:51:09 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0053d4764AC0842742EC14d8a16f16D02A9823a1
Tx: 0x0036006dea5c4b262bed1d767034450fee1eb06f9fbdd7446f8f274449c81718
Open txWallet profile
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:51:09 P.M.
From: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
To: 0x0031CC67CDD6E08fA25373839307B11934919BD3
Tx: 0x000f0010224f44a1e421b1ddc556aaa451b52e826f2b1fa75f35f218da6551ca
Open tx