Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 12:50:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 12:50:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 12:51:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 57,939.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
63x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
57,939.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 57939 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 12:50:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
31,253.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
31,253.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
5,823.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 37,077.25 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
57,939.13 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:50:26 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
917.17 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:49:14 P.M.
-2 min
13 tx
21,630.96 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:48:02 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate8 tx
72,145.35 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:51:38 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:46:50 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:52:50 P.M.
-4 min
8 tx
4,297.24 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:45:38 P.M.
+4 min
10 tx
1,549.38 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:54:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
31,253.49 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:50:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
31,253.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:50:19 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0058007f03e92bd212cfefd6efa8828af00c5d6cbb72753b0438c6869049e1dd
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:50:19 P.M.
From: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
To: 0x003e2FcEeD1CFDA7b718C873d876760A7Ae77079
Tx: 0x004200741deaf204cc7973af4ae9d6878656dc35f9232359ade2be4a65c108b2
140.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:50:05 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00540010a629c01cb63f8f59900bdd115d0e44ce8ea813d5357aa8ea20843b5f
200.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:50:05 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006b0016795d658eb4eb57d9a20a84e6fd147381dc160fbb0d2617a60a6a8e56
221.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:50:05 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005b001d98851f8d9593b6d77f5187c5c5f4d5fb87538e37c5395ad58dee2538
5,823.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:50:05 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Tx: 0x0018000ce584fe5496d4ee4a3219b63846ae69d46e3e4cb5c362c8ca0c70a112
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:50:05 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x006b006c269c3d80f40f2e4eb4907be640ffcfd627e7bc4e66d8111d407dd1ea
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:50:05 P.M.
From: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
To: 0x005428E0677Ae0F4f4aa0B586986e2545D41c7E8
Tx: 0x004d0005214cf197ef6423455ae33375c54bbd0bd27bd7fa5e2cbf62a57c3b97