Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 12:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 12:45:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 12:46:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
54% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,307.95
Unexplained QUAI: 1,989.28
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
6.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
4
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
4,297.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 4297 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 12:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (46% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (54%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
Net sender
Unknown type
1,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
907.95 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
600 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
189.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
642.65 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:44:26 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
4,297.24 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:45:38 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate15 tx
21,871.68 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:43:14 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:46:50 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:42:02 P.M.
+3 min
13 tx
21,630.96 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:48:02 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:40:51 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
917.17 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:49:14 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,400 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:45:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
189.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:45:11 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0073005eb59f3742d079d5a61a27a0e0ef15550bbfe7d8f567e0bdcb616a082f
118.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:45:11 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000b0045d97c8dd37a87f8707b9186b1e903dbd6374d9a6c17497999358d7238
1,400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:45:11 P.M.
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x005d001901400fb77d886d31faf0406b3b7b5c63d21574acb7b46d84a6098091
600 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:45:11 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0057002fa5893d54dd48c9a3c4705a3af3af2dc811c48896ba43340904c011b1