Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 12:42:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 12:42:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 12:43:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,871.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 12:42:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
856.4 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
335.15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
247.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:42:02 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:40:51 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate15 tx
21,871.68 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:43:14 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
495.36 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:39:39 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
642.65 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:44:26 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
668.84 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:38:27 P.M.
+4 min
8 tx
4,297.24 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:45:38 P.M.
-5 min
8 tx
869.4 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:37:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.16 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:58 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0038003145e4af923dd37c5d149bb051df250dfb53295a8a122716bfe63d5e79
41.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:54 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003c00145ab27feac5884ccf7fb16f16efe7718421597c304bd29f1cea3d775c
50.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:54 P.M.
From: 0x0044ca417c8395d9A9b212670752A3B476F4e166
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a0055a744154a49d5a2bc3537f3a031f17201a7f8e6a54acb111fe047f3b4
60.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:54 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x002b007e2e48aaffb5061d6621add5ef67b18bc2d8ddc0220b96c724cfa14750
225.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007400649133e8c7ac1ec317880c313e9380d0c45a6d077fc5ac7546d3939fcb
204.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007700676ff8cd364dd7efecdc1596e520906d9d792ed5ac17a1db1c16b6c407
196.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x002000326201b5e9ac79e51984ece13e24bc31579816676b5f286ebea98d3354
79.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003500177b98fc807196d59e1640e1a3cd3fbf4ba791c51f27ac90cd4b64e2c4
130.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00530071c214e0c470b6d6d98c9746447bd8862581f3cf293e2b74d5a76dc692
197.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00490076abb3a9d4dc5ed0fdd1f8340e4e7dd9061e337abdb836cfcaeb6d8dcc
141.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00460010367e43677d785d1a011350d0e725d7e4df086da252da4589fdc27bfd
216.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004f007872647e0890a524555edfa80ea3f4e42667dc11b56e3f8a42f84ce3d3
109.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0032002c37e27ba7b72dc9d03c973fdd45cdb4fd5d2767bdd27833858b88106a
116.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007f007e1e16d955ec5a33228ed4b5a1563dea8e755ad1ba98a2e91c83983b8b
100.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:42:17 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x006f56Ac78e7274d88bD5dBBd382bb38f83427F0
Tx: 0x006f00284e743e975ce4df82066fa43fab06e44025d505f20013e2157aaa8b9b
