Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 12:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 12:31:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 12:32:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
4% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 989.7
Unexplained QUAI: 24,598.61
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
22x previous minute
26x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
25,588.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 25588 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 12:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
750.71 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
245.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
208.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
206.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
138.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
25,588.31 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:31:15 P.M.
-1 min
9 tx
1,188.03 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:30:03 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
989.7 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:32:27 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
25,479.89 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:28:51 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
144.97 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:27:34 P.M.
+3 min
10 tx
8,219.44 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:33:39 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
226.4 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:34:51 P.M.
-5 min
10 tx
1,096.41 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:26:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
245.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:31:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
42.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:31:29 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x004c00178011c1ef1dc9075d9bc8a7f82089286b78cbff8b449e269a20faf49e
245.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:31:22 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006900303d4d6d7bbb71ac5c832c65343cab30b7d67cacfa371edd43c81b844f
89.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:31:22 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003f001063980c47f98d12eb4473c8872611fba5799a2f244dab1a44682b7dbb
57.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:31:22 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000a0020829fb74db4da9341d6324ca55b59601c753360a5a7cc4d3de90a9def
206.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:31:22 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0034006eefefad70bd9c3a79af86cc07db968f7b5759db3b8d5cd4250d0aad86
138.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:31:22 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0004002e53547e3aca68ff9583073f990f9ab17a559171800252ad6e6ba88030
208.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:31:22 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004d00034591ad01ca1a37ea0b2625f57a11e8956d42ed9807297613cdb3e325