Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 12:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 12:25:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 12:26:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
55% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 708.71
Unexplained QUAI: 582.34
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
1,291.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1291 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 12:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (45% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (55%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
321.25 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
284.93 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
238.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
214.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
102.52 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
1,291.04 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:25:11 P.M.
-1 min
9 tx
60,851.26 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:23:59 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
1,096.41 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:26:22 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
563.95 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:22:47 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate13 tx
1,093,338.69 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:21:35 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
144.97 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:27:34 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
25,479.89 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:28:51 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
242.91 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:20:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
238.96 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:25:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
214.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:25:55 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0033001eff53c239d8bb86225c21e0e867631bb3380e486ad0aa0d3c709131dd
51.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:25:34 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001f000b714ccc562a1538a80debb81cf94ecc75fa93dca5d30f0e611f0f291f
45.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:25:34 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00140046edb7aa6a1a4fea25a8a720b894fcdad9eda42e28e19ac17e499b1be6
50.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:25:34 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x00310E3240cA535863F063678876335338c90fcE
Tx: 0x0052003e4633d929cf4b9741245c0aa72948d70ecaaecac5365eb8c58bf7d38f
238.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:25:09 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0059005978288ab08c5c973915c95549ac375239c1baf31e3eba2827c90ad0ad
55.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:25:09 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00680026697fe354154905a42520ebf6fb6a94ebfe9be9a3c1c8e6098643b641
52.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:25:09 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0044ca417c8395d9A9b212670752A3B476F4e166
Tx: 0x0031007cdf7570412f2388c3eef099cb435d099449cb8f249cb88a45cf6b6c57
