Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 12:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 12:12:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 12:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,400.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 423.77
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
2,400.23 QUAI
423.77 QI
Avg confidence
66.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61 • 0x002b901B04ed11283491254Da13A681C26Bc7a2A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2400 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61 • 0x002b901B04ed11283491254Da13A681C26Bc7a2A.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 12:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b901B04ed11283491254Da13A681C26Bc7a2A
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
426.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
423.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
423.78 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 423.77 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 150.31 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:11:59 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
1,910.26 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:10:47 P.M.
+1 min
15 tx
2,400.23 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:13:11 P.M.
-2 min
8 tx
861.93 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:09:35 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:14:23 P.M.
-4 min
35 tx
2,198.11 QUAI • 54 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:08:23 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate13 tx
61,612.22 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:15:35 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
307.06 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 12:07:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x002b901B04ed11283491254Da13A681C26Bc7a2A
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
216.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:54 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x003600407d4de4e1d402908b21ffaf6a1493cd2c7c879bba8cc7f802a0dabd14
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:54 P.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x002b901B04ed11283491254Da13A681C26Bc7a2A
Tx: 0x00630008691b64b1a11e5ee687be25ba19740673a18eb07435f1f04c6969a1bd
14.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:54 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00420013725889f23a92cf536b7e662dd15fa7bee355a8b3244152a70bdd70e6
13.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:54 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006e000f1ae0ee81a41dbda9585d503f84392a5c468c2a229eb9b508c63b5cb2
211.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:48 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002e0020de9e98e3a0f50b8031a65f7d12b0000d3c8e02e58129b5f6312a28f9
211.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:48 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0021002d5822b65eb64e748d1f19bdc5782a7dcf8e0a1be25aa112091359266d
130.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:35 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0046004c4f95377cfb76fcd3cd18412727143c3ae268dbabd575ceedc2070273
76.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:35 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0033005107708986b11b2545853507e91a281e2bd3c80b2fb4229e4c93311aa9
177.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:35 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x001b004bc859f7b7c702493a3db1871c8a824334eabc3e226f54a1317481e6ec
17.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:35 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0032002f0c8eec0e065b02fdbfdda73c9779f4476512b7a783c5795c6e699fe3
179.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:01 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0034001cc4589439fc9501343d7e018675833e26247c910f4317c70eba837fe9
59.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:01 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002a00123f1b841a3a9cbaf2d7b5a97a5abd425c84e15b08f7ccadf813da322a
116.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:01 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00690043f6a3b1278bc7cf9e9a0d005e3cc9ccea2864851917473b8572c27979
249.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:01 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x005000675f04b6c44fc87eb2eba4a8a238b0d76c103421caa819e64884928ed6
150.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 12:12:01 P.M.
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00610056ba97bc91f25d0977dc9f7b471ced2d1bcb554d33683a9bde63ad2d94
