Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 11:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 11:44:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 11:45:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 261.63
Unexplained QUAI: 458.05
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 506.76
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.2x previous minute
3.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
2
28.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
719.67 QUAI
506.76 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11 • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 720 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11 • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 11:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (36%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
210.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
210.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
50.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
719.67 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:44:26 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
588.37 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:43:14 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate9 tx
21,067.6 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:42:02 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
210.82 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:45:37 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
728.09 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:40:50 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
443.4 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:46:49 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
126.77 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:39:38 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
20,353.74 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:48:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
210.82 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:44:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
210.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:44:45 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x006e003eeb66b90ac1c3c4533216186e5e67510e8818e2d1322a19704b1b1e0f
50.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:44:09 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00490030e51a4d8cde35e5a14f1707ec1baa1dd9205a1666a61498a4589bc6db