Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 11:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 11:35:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 11:36:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,396.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 451.3
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
9,396.45 QUAI
451.3 QI
Avg confidence
67.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9396 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 11:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,487.73 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
2,060.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net sender
Unknown type
1,099.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
704.99 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 451.3 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,487.73 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
608.76 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:34:52 A.M.
-1 min
17 tx
20,638.92 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:33:39 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
9,637.22 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:36:03 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
250.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:37:15 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
231.97 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:32:27 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
773.58 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:38:26 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
291.48 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:31:15 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate11 tx
23,316.69 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:30:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.23 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
159.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:36 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002d000b17e58a04d27c7b4ac06b938855a18b6d87e5ea93f72b89655c6859f8
196.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:36 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007b0029aca33f880f2f1b53b742868632ea1302ce9acce3e2ba9e1fe7bbff67
4,999.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:36 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c007849e7ac13858f18b9d7b8660915890ce1fe3c98a8ce2dcee76f1eb876
2,060.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:36 A.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006500591ded4fd6f3efe986f44ad54a0542c6c8d26bb87d1d26895aa5190b62
328.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:36 A.M.
From: 0x00509B7D0FF19eb42eCa5FCFF12fD3566b93eE7F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007000139af55c99890d53b004544128cd4803bb3eba457474818a58cd34959c
1,099.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:36 A.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0027005f3398b6fdafb31a434945746bf16dc94a2c237e45d3688076b0f16365
225.65 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:14 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001900305f9e6c6d9778919fd1f80d992ed15bb6d2548abe477981b6b9fabfc0
225.65 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:14 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00400042e159844356f1c22c40444771b6c48879581d9833cc08b641a1cd63ee
170.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:13 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003f00041bd22dc8b4afe3fa2cff50be9656154cb87c0ad4a9483e82237f510a
178.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:13 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0075006977944433c91bf3f9357bbc98e3dbb2b0078f206a0885fcfb13388ebf
203.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:35:13 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0038006a1e3ad87220ca1f5990de57778dd7047ba215d8eaeb927113bf24945b