Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 11:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 11:30:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 11:31:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 291.48
Unexplained QUAI: 23,025.21
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
70x previous minute
80x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
3
27.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
23,316.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 23317 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 11:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
158.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
158.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
132.75 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
68.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
64.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate11 tx
23,316.69 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:30:02 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
335.25 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:28:45 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
291.48 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:31:15 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
306.01 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:27:33 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
231.97 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:32:27 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
1,036.64 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:26:22 A.M.
+4 min
17 tx
20,638.92 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:33:39 A.M.
-5 min
7 tx
701.88 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:25:10 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
158.73 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:30:39 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
68.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:30:43 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007000736f2eb4996e8664b5ba9cdd9929aa26b09b4f1e79740f39d89fff46c1
64.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:30:39 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0035001757207f66965257e437228f4eb3efb4157df84ab4f3df4c149549ad03
158.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:30:39 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00610065c776047e804a141cfc72d7699d4402934d05873c8b805ac4f46478c0