Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 11:05:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
22% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 502.08
Unexplained QUAI: 1,793.51
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
57
Observable rows
3
5.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
65
Asset volume
2,295.58 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 2296 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
402.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
237.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
164.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
99.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
99.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 99.4 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
1,066.52 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:04:32 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate57 tx
2,295.58 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:05:42 A.M.
-2 min
58 tx
1,825.96 QUAI • 79 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:03:19 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
711.09 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:06:55 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
448.78 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:02:05 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
939.7 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:08:08 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
585.13 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:00:53 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,325.03 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:09:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
237.97 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:05:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
164.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:05:36 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00010007d96fbfc8ae4a25be9731fd1f6a119aaa9097f245d875a39641008d2a
237.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:05:36 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f00516f08b6f00736a5ae769c0f8ae5541ead772e95f9c08faa674101f0c8
99.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:05:36 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a004d8bbc962fe24e0ad6708e4da41760668b8a714faa49a1683b3dbf50ce