Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 10:59:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 11:00:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
97% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,979.85
Unexplained QUAI: 296.27
Explained QI: 732.24
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
5.4x above local average
11x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
9
81.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
11,276.12 QUAI
732.24 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0 • 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 11276 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0 • 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
732.25 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
732.25 QI across 3 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
305.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 732.24 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
269.49 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:58:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate11 tx
11,276.12 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:59:42 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
1,017.06 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:57:18 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
585.13 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:00:53 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
133.66 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:56:05 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
448.78 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:02:05 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
1,003.86 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:54:53 A.M.
+4 min
58 tx
1,825.96 QUAI • 79 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:03:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:59:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
246.37 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:59:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0049007505e889ce499f14b1fa33691d25e1d9289a3261b79a9d7b1198636089
243.86 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:59:42 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0046005d058ea3b3cca4e86e34d644effe3ccb5e6b8dd324f6f02e6351462d57
117.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:59:42 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007e001fdbd0ed355406f5645ab0093dba352c3628a4b03805a265e7d02707ea
235.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:59:25 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00790072d9f84a5eacdfe66d48055ff34add00690444b3a727ad4b6d223eeaa3
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:59:25 A.M.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
Tx: 0x003e0065cb9eaca160489374ac2f188ab94edd24d18a86c1e9763249f6fffd6f
242.01 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:59:05 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003d004f6448cc295014ae0f6759cf0494053b504bc7e88b01a6720cfded289c
187.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:59:05 A.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0061004ffc17fd967d7f404d80a9b1e5f5a8c6a994e22da864e6b9b607fe7636
245.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:59:05 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x006900227205d6b78cd59ae063bc36a6ba8ca4569a08585f21b714a1ddac14fb
192.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:59:05 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0037000cc98f005fe11463cf3bca0d127426b6044cac03a70d7c430aeea18277
