Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 10:53:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,178.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 688.2
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
13
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
21,368.54 QUAI
688.2 QI
Avg confidence
68.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 21369 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,901.95 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
3,593.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
2,719.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 688.2 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,901.95 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate19 tx
27,544.69 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:52:29 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
21,368.54 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:53:41 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
269.37 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:51:17 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
1,003.86 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:54:53 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
1,385.88 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:50:05 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
133.66 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:56:05 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
1,376.69 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:48:53 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
1,017.06 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:57:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
586 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:48 A.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0070004dd13670eb33b8965f71e6d51ac009ca0192f5f0577ae9fbda0018b192
222.5 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:46 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005d006a16591ecac3d407539c9d52b7008a194b6aeb8d5e94bf205efe619402
222.5 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:46 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0064006862040ea42515049e62e07317d68dcbe5dc10aa37d6bd916648224d20
224.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:45 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0007003e6f4fcf2f0dd542c40e13d3a89dbaafa13d5fb6e1c70413cb0add9c97
235.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004a00562738d5e42c5a2b5a3423171fe0d9b5783ac173aaa5b1cbadb8cccd5b
169.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003500609d4c62584406b510ed5526a0bdfba7ec9531a514296beb9346fe93eb
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
Tx: 0x000a0022c8b1f7129dd106cc784bc909f5949964f086b22eb5879878943307e1
3,593.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c0066a72810c4016403e5e4c899c202ab3250395023394853b27c479a54b6
2,513.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x003937E6b84285138b395682Ef46f27B81BfF31B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c000915fb08f64d68c83029075b6fe8a3dedf6bb4481c0cbe52a210957242
2,076.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0055556b924aa7300555e45c589ea5fb1f750ae6db2fc0558b63deebb561
2,719.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b000e2ac6ee8f655fadb6abb0318363c8e1d42e4af495f262900c67707212
243.2 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:15 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006d0017685d03ca3679d458c29f731ecfda0f4803fbacf61fe24b241d3a0fb7
61.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:53:13 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0021002cdb68cf7daaac54cbdd12e4a43e2bbbba6b3004e521b5d8865a06e6dc
