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Spike bucket

09/19/2026, 10:52:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/19/2026, 10:52:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 27,482.37

Unexplained QUAI: 62.32

Explained QI: 482.33

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume

Relative context

4.2x above local average

102x previous minute

1.3x next minute

Interpretation

Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

89.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

27,544.69 QUAI

482.33 QI

Avg confidence

65.5%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 27545 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 40

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/19/2026, 10:52:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

26,486.55 QUAI across 8 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C

Net receiver

Unknown type

5,159.04 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85

Net receiver

Unknown type

3,966.15 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164

Net receiver

Unknown type

3,593.78 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005312E3212a3a4Bf17BC7cFD7e1eC5C1EC33833

Net receiver

Unknown type

3,320.71 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 482.33 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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17 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 19. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.