Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 10:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 10:21:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 10:22:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
48% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 650.82
Unexplained QUAI: 692.25
Explained QI: 449.36
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
1.5x previous minute
2.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
7
70.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
1,343.07 QUAI
449.36 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1343 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 10:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (52% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (48%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
449.37 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
449.37 QI across 2 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
289.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
181.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
181.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 449.36 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate10 tx
1,343.07 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:21:18 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
884.12 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:20:05 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
510.34 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:18:54 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
650.82 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:22:30 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
999.03 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:17:42 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
342.98 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:23:42 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
176.9 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:16:31 A.M.
+4 min
14 tx
1,193.97 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:24:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
248.48 QI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:22:00 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
76.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:21:59 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0052001a5a8bf5ce9cc5311c6a282b51dbb29700959bc650905e2b37ce83eb55
123.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:21:59 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0039002e98e5eedcf816b02397c0e381224f5d2c433a467feed3066523a09505
224.68 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:21:42 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0064003ea3e32b02b317f20224f2690cd1645e45b49285ac2c69955f0bee3327
224.68 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:21:42 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005b00007f4de5d39e919ad002be0e7e5dc416f76fc7a05ddd9467311f624934
103.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:21:21 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003e005147f5d03ffb9a1048758a50017d2c55d9b340108d4af1adc654878c86
181.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:21:21 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007d005b4b257d73cc9dc3c3c1ed712a4a379dd79a7fa7e33a67e479c3003202
165.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:21:21 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004400659d1c061a6be20a054f43ab0b799360ba4070cf444ef74deadde8ebfe