Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 10:18:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 10:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 931.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 450.13
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
2.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
510.34 QUAI
450.13 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 510 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
668.02 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
450.14 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
450.14 QI across 2 visible rows
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
263.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
235.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 450.13 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
999.03 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:17:42 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
176.9 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:16:31 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
510.34 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:18:54 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
884.12 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:20:05 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
1,021.04 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:15:19 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate10 tx
1,343.07 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:21:18 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
723.97 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:14:07 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
439.76 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:12:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
235.65 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:18:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
185.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00030032dfd31b61fcbb53f690bf0cc6fc20861c3e63c0953ac659972ccfa2c0
235.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:18:57 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00100078b2553af7dd3ab108b6ed97e75a6ba120c9706beb2a989462e22e66be
225.06 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:18:49 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0003001308c75eaeb94f47237605f90ac28c1cad402438cb7973eed6000df239
225.06 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:18:49 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00790024a44b70d8396e77b3018697f4d485f1efd9779c613f3b18e0eaa2fa43
119.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:18:46 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006a00609098fa1c4024ef2b97a2f6f6e28a1028af5c62a319c8c34a48271ade
155.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003c003a523f531509b31bdebcefa4224ace0e658d281769eb5142a9c8c97f1d
107.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00090047f0de3e482851afb8e2eb00c932606f9bcfc8531e647d78b6e0412638
127.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0065000edb38380361c18d25aa8bf01753d1e2bd0ccccfbf9020c59080f3d933
