Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 10:01:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 10:01:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 10:02:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 316.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
316.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 316 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 10:01:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
204.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
204.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
112.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
112.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
7,249.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:00:54 A.M.
-1 min
14 tx
1,614.28 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:59:43 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
316.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:02:06 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
242.21 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:58:30 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
586.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:03:18 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:57:13 A.M.
+4 min
60 tx
1,636.29 QUAI • 80 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:04:30 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate9 tx
80,462.4 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:56:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
204.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:01:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
112.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:01:25 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0020001e85d2fe2268f16ec765a15e98c934d6b28d4f04df596ed29ecd00b253
204.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:01:25 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003b0015b0539ae375e33f289d187fdc66c1397d0f79c16cfe635a877d28f416