Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 9:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 9:59:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 10:00:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
97% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,565.75
Unexplained QUAI: 48.54
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
13
92.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
1,614.28 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 1614 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 9:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
539.02 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
405.09 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
398.98 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
238.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
237.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
242.21 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:58:30 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
1,614.28 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:59:43 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:57:13 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
7,249.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:00:54 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate9 tx
80,462.4 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:56:02 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
316.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:02:06 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
60,475.85 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:54:50 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
586.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:03:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
238.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
157.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:39 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003f0051502f6d727509a4b35ef89d17973338d8efea4ec42d2e25feb6634e9a
30.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:39 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005d0055fad6ff33b8b1047525552e2559ca7a9ad47d6a01c792fa54c7868740
71.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:39 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00270076e8ab4f1dfe02364019e3ccf1504015ca43f4106e599fad1904a7cd00
81.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:39 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005f005ef552fc6b8e8262ca43ec7edd10e4e5e2205666d6c699815e7344e033
68.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:39 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007c005f3fe9aa15db0f54b52e2ec46c65593dd1592c5f51582acaa954c11c97
95.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:39 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005c001abf654579dcb544e7258f1591e7c1fe888f7e8486f3c0c78d747a71c3
177.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:39 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00440024f3048b225d4d5932a72965a2d2970af03e2430b5f378ef5c401cb688
75.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:09 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000a006c2ac2589cc79e8a82a77555728cd9edc1d4dedb84b08206ceef3a1ed7
54.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:09 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0032004601353374244a677371172a2ec140440636d322f75c53afd0a84ccc9b
154.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:09 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x000d003ac1d61a8615318320c0febf48353c9b7d420712e88b41bae2926d104a
237.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:09 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x006f004cd9ca824f6c6640f08bdd2aff6ccd37cd93bb2544318fb9d1e690e839
238.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:09 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0024006bf731a47b7ea0be6c87fdeeabcffa511ddffeb28fb7fce79f48813601
123.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:59:09 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0069004c8490f559c8483272c9593c711342a292cf896bf8259ec1ac18dabeb0
