Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 9:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 9:50:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 9:51:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 82,094.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 244.49
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
2.0x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
4
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
78,974.43 QUAI
244.49 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 78974 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 9:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
42,880.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46
Net receiver
Unknown type
42,880.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Db536453037bEfc7181d5869E3bf9ae62DE5f
Net sender
Unknown type
39,214.64 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,677.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,537.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 42,880.16 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
78,974.43 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:50:02 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
39,450.09 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:48:50 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
121,366.36 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:51:14 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate5 tx
421,090.16 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:47:38 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:52:26 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:46:27 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
40,469.09 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:53:37 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
19,999.13 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:45:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
42,880.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:50:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
19,677.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:50:36 A.M.
From: 0x006Db536453037bEfc7181d5869E3bf9ae62DE5f
To: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Tx: 0x0006007dcf5d1b70aef3f6cf5b0868e750d27707113730b8b44ca0b246dafc72
19,537.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:50:30 A.M.
From: 0x006Db536453037bEfc7181d5869E3bf9ae62DE5f
To: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Tx: 0x00390050785fe7cf13f5c3ff30f89fd5cc714574106417258ba1db62b73ac979
42,880.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:50:30 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46
Tx: 0x0003004e4bc2baa3cace62d68ab6af3a4f9c06fa67dafb030b581626806c3bec
244.49 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:50:15 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0012007a02fd0eb553d9410d0bc4c838d0f732a77f9d0bf87dd9d269297be7fe
