Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 9:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 9:38:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 9:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 31,789.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 436.41
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
0 QUAI
436.41 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 9:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net sender
Unknown type
31,698.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
31,698.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
436.41 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
436.41 QI across 2 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
90.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 436.41 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:38:00 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
8,000 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:36:48 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
31,789.4 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:39:12 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:35:36 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:40:23 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
31,700 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:34:25 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:41:35 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:33:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
31,698.55 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:38:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
90.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:38:38 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0066001df60e1ed9f66b8adb4682f1f791c0542a2c9bb48345329316f4821ab1
31,698.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:38:38 A.M.
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x001f001aa62f49a38b6712acc7af3ae57627a57b91e109447ec7daaf8dba243f
218.2 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004b004fd8bd20c2b1b3e7821745aaa911df30edebe19e8423ffb96a8735da06
218.2 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00080070a33ac983289c43f40d02fe6356013ad6a3435369d6822bc4548feabd