Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 9:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 9:33:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 9:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 31,700
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 744.35
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
744.35 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003779ec109b24CECD1a4538de62543D6Bb940B5 • 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003779ec109b24CECD1a4538de62543D6Bb940B5 • 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 9:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003779ec109b24CECD1a4538de62543D6Bb940B5
Net sender
Unknown type
31,700 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net receiver
Unknown type
31,700 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:33:14 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
138.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:32:03 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
31,700 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:34:25 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
154.84 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:30:51 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:29:39 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:35:36 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
8,000 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:36:48 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
95.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:28:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
31,700 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:33:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003779ec109b24CECD1a4538de62543D6Bb940B5
To: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
31,700 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:33:33 A.M.
From: 0x003779ec109b24CECD1a4538de62543D6Bb940B5
To: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Tx: 0x000f001e3b907827ade09dac90c4df6020b39a8fb4b3f9ad664ddf9f21bd8fb9