Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 9:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 9:13:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 9:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 753
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 258.49
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
18x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
753 QUAI
258.49 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004D04fb125afFae6e437f5019124c329d38442 • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 753 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004D04fb125afFae6e437f5019124c329d38442 • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 9:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004D04fb125afFae6e437f5019124c329d38442
Net receiver
Unknown type
750 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
258.49 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
258.49 QI across 1 visible row
0x000c9B0C3F548cE7974cDBf1D20c8B506dA2F8c3
Net sender
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
159.92 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:12:56 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
42.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:11:44 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
753 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:14:07 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
806.79 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:10:33 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:15:19 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate7 tx
4,423.37 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:09:21 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
700 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:16:30 A.M.
-5 min
17 tx
927.41 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:08:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:13:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0004D04fb125afFae6e437f5019124c329d38442
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:13:57 A.M.
From: 0x000c9B0C3F548cE7974cDBf1D20c8B506dA2F8c3
To: 0x0004D04fb125afFae6e437f5019124c329d38442
Tx: 0x000900668ec7d8df56dcc5d19632b798a1e87cda58ddb3d6f8c4fcda3b2eb7a4
258.49 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:13:34 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004600685b8fc8a375bb482dae1decc1e8d0bb8a5f62435a006e4de0cd290925
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:13:17 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0004D04fb125afFae6e437f5019124c329d38442
Tx: 0x0058007ae59d940e33be47058e5d10ffc795baeab0902a8ea56704bbc6b6980e
3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:13:17 A.M.
From: 0x0021b6A735b006d88Ff6FA0dD5Ed4BD2C729Fc7C
To: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
Tx: 0x003c0014470c44b4dc6a3ae64d1e7e9d383b9177e7f9e4ecb3cc39b8f6b0b878