Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 9:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 9:10:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 9:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 806.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 691.69
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 87% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
806.79 QUAI
691.69 QI
Avg confidence
80.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x002af09059576C7C9FF55ab28734c614bDb898e8.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 807 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x002af09059576C7C9FF55ab28734c614bDb898e8.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 9:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002af09059576C7C9FF55ab28734c614bDb898e8
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
691.7 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
691.7 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0021C62359cbFb14042ad28b2Ded753589faBE5b
Net sender
Unknown type
106.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 691.69 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
4,423.37 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:09:21 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
806.79 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:10:33 A.M.
-2 min
17 tx
927.41 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:08:06 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
42.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:11:44 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
707.87 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:06:54 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
159.92 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:12:56 A.M.
-4 min
54 tx
1,074.23 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:05:42 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
753 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:14:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
700 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:10:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x002af09059576C7C9FF55ab28734c614bDb898e8
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
244.59 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0073001dd87f8892f625d4cd248785a4f8ca11de677aec48d6ad342635b35ce4
223.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:10:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0078004c4aaaedada3d1db553f23c64d0df4b11a4b760433b0cecb5e42e3a8fd
223.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:10:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003a0053d6241f952aba840769757d5345d783bc23b690e8e7a524e155bd5257
700 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:10:05 A.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x002af09059576C7C9FF55ab28734c614bDb898e8
Tx: 0x006b004df47fee39a1ef60b5a91957e8bf76715bd27367c30ef3e00ee44170fd
106.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:10:05 A.M.
From: 0x0021C62359cbFb14042ad28b2Ded753589faBE5b
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x006f00581f279840bfc66b45245a64c8c58b816961c4b98793a883143f2c1835