Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 9:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 9:04:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 9:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
5% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40.99
Unexplained QUAI: 845.54
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
1
1.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
65
Asset volume
886.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 887 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 9:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
40.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
40.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
1,000 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:03:18 A.M.
+1 min
52 tx
886.52 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:04:30 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
627 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:02:06 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate54 tx
1,074.23 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:05:42 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
810.15 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:00:54 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
707.87 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:06:54 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
126.09 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:59:43 A.M.
+4 min
17 tx
927.41 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:08:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
40.99 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:04:03 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
40.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:04:03 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x002b00599305b8c24ba7395b00865ee2b1e1c38bd3bb4e959b256d49eaedaa24