Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 8:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 8:46:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 8:47:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
99% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 211.13
Unexplained QUAI: 1.37
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
212.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 213 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 8:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
100.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
100.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003E30e0a7dC3AEaCfd03564786056cAfcb08d73
Balanced
Unknown type
74.55 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0020FbEC34b40Ac68BfEFdaC27e2eadc336b1b69
Net receiver
Unknown type
73.14 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002B4969CDEf5ecE1D3aB6b9a0f106Ca8eBCEf63
Net sender
Unknown type
37.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
104.7 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:45:21 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
212.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:46:32 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
110.96 QUAI • 4 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:44:09 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
36.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:47:44 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
37.91 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:42:57 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:48:56 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
130.89 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:41:45 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate7 tx
574.13 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:50:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
100.02 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:46:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
36.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:46:55 A.M.
From: 0x003E30e0a7dC3AEaCfd03564786056cAfcb08d73
To: 0x0020FbEC34b40Ac68BfEFdaC27e2eadc336b1b69
Tx: 0x007e004825dbad6e25295ad78d5a3c9f8ad773ba94fdbac2d87b835f3c45f92d
36.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:46:21 A.M.
From: 0x0028788D00f7fc0244e07450C46deB5c027D1Dd6
To: 0x0020FbEC34b40Ac68BfEFdaC27e2eadc336b1b69
Tx: 0x0052001be31139aa711577610cc419b69ecffbe18733bf3079593466e458ea73
100.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:46:21 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007300718854234121114e935a2321906eadec1cbedecbca438718e1737c87a4
37.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:46:21 A.M.
From: 0x002B4969CDEf5ecE1D3aB6b9a0f106Ca8eBCEf63
To: 0x003E30e0a7dC3AEaCfd03564786056cAfcb08d73
Tx: 0x0023005fc833178f9591085037076fbcc8a3159621e98ef3f4549af8dcdc74be