Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 8:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 8:41:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 8:42:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 36.55
Unexplained QUAI: 94.34
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 255.04
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
1
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
130.89 QUAI
255.04 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004F5B8D6410E6155ce6fF79CcB376F335981576 • 0x0020FbEC34b40Ac68BfEFdaC27e2eadc336b1b69.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 131 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004F5B8D6410E6155ce6fF79CcB376F335981576 • 0x0020FbEC34b40Ac68BfEFdaC27e2eadc336b1b69.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 8:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004F5B8D6410E6155ce6fF79CcB376F335981576
Net sender
Unknown type
36.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020FbEC34b40Ac68BfEFdaC27e2eadc336b1b69
Net receiver
Unknown type
36.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
153.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:40:34 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
130.89 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:41:45 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
204.22 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:39:22 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
37.91 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:42:57 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate9 tx
7,761.53 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:38:11 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
110.96 QUAI • 4 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:44:09 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
396.3 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:36:59 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
104.7 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:45:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
36.55 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:41:15 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004F5B8D6410E6155ce6fF79CcB376F335981576
To: 0x0020FbEC34b40Ac68BfEFdaC27e2eadc336b1b69
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
36.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:41:15 A.M.
From: 0x004F5B8D6410E6155ce6fF79CcB376F335981576
To: 0x0020FbEC34b40Ac68BfEFdaC27e2eadc336b1b69
Tx: 0x0010001f46055a5f6565e900f9d519d27934a648a618e405bd8c31c270408b69
