Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 8:37:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 8:37:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 8:38:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,761.53
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 707.12
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
33x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
7,761.53 QUAI
707.12 QI
Avg confidence
73.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 7762 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 8:37:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04
Balanced
Unknown type
7,471.53 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,465.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
707.13 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
707.13 QI across 3 visible rows
0x002666d39dD8f0408b925D368E186874dA97CCFE
Balanced
Unknown type
194 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 707.12 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
396.3 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:36:59 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
233.38 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:35:47 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
7,761.53 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:38:11 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
7,663.93 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:34:35 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
204.22 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:39:22 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
97.93 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:33:23 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
153.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:40:34 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
197.23 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:32:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,465.85 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:37:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
228.44 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:37:50 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00740064f41800a75ec2398130852904b6a0974ca7a12b3fa07d03f36935d297
228.44 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:37:50 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004b001cdc2060f257af73069dae950601faba2765cd14f048b2cb91c944dfe0
96.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:37:43 A.M.
From: 0x002666d39dD8f0408b925D368E186874dA97CCFE
To: 0x0020FbEC34b40Ac68BfEFdaC27e2eadc336b1b69
Tx: 0x007f0056591fee22e8f74e15ba1030cadebb0bf46b7729f110e75dcb3f5bae9c
7,465.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:37:36 A.M.
From: 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x002e003c01bf61071cf2da736151e64882a959c2471a1429729234a02a22985d
96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:37:13 A.M.
From: 0x00784c2d30A47deDcC425B9B54795Ce720B705C4
To: 0x0020FbEC34b40Ac68BfEFdaC27e2eadc336b1b69
Tx: 0x002400715fa5e836bfadd789ada9d7716d57b827b84014366eda148223394a2c
5.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:37:13 A.M.
From: 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46
To: 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04
Tx: 0x001d0018bb70fb04306d179de410131c1f60a4e485ea8e3ec9d8635fc49d5688
97.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:37:13 A.M.
From: 0x0060E7ed04b970862436030Cf005DAE1ee5A5D13
To: 0x002666d39dD8f0408b925D368E186874dA97CCFE
Tx: 0x004d002fb05c083e4a03a32209c0dbfbf12100d427dc4c26be3e2fdac792ab04
250.23 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:37:04 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006a004c6d8ad88fbd4f82b06544e07c2485e4f9771db899ef66abc1373d8445