Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 8:14:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 8:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
38% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,180.81
Unexplained QUAI: 24,958
Explained QI: 716.04
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
2.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
40,138.8 QUAI
716.04 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C • 0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 40139 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C • 0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 8:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (62% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
Net sender
Unknown type
15,114.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0
Net receiver
Unknown type
15,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
716.04 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
716.04 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
114.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 716.04 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
40,138.8 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:14:15 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:13:04 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
15,180.81 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:15:28 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
5,410.05 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:11:52 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
104.95 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:10:40 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
95,109.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:16:39 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
14,997.95 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:17:51 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:09:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:14:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
To: 0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
230.67 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002b001f703ca6d12bcadb058e2e02f6b950615f38c243ba903a9c80460384cb
230.67 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005400321b32c203b53c24958dad52c2a0caacef265e1ab3e3ed7e5e39b3e2c4
15,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:14:37 A.M.
From: 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
To: 0x000A6F59C50344dfecf4663fD960F4DEb57204A0
Tx: 0x000f0054046fc2b17b770d148a98cb792964a1d1332b636789de436a644ca672
114.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:14:37 A.M.
From: 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x001200135266e297166f0e04c52296b3032bd2b6d13d0d775034da829744520a
66.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:14:37 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x006f002f3df73265677c265fdadd04104478cb27cb27464b3ec22975d213e3e8
254.68 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:14:06 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00380006c3d92e3f8101b1d03ef3817878f509f9ba2372edd3cedb05e5a4c26b