Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 7:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 7:22:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 7:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 66.51
Unexplained QUAI: 95.85
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
162.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 162 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 7:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
66.51 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
33.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00377dfCeFF8d0cC35cB4c584660571e2271607E
Net sender
Unknown type
30.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Net sender
Unknown type
2.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:21:37 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
162.36 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:22:49 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
185.08 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:20:25 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
66.51 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:24:04 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
247.76 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:19:14 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:25:16 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:18:03 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0.91 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:26:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
33.48 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:22:56 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
30.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:22:56 A.M.
From: 0x00377dfCeFF8d0cC35cB4c584660571e2271607E
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004a00711679c359a1c0890a22735936d06e0daf5ebbade5c8172e162f4b4504
33.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:22:56 A.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0055004c513b0b9a627398a9337c83de9609708597643cc6f41cf127845fc135
2.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:22:56 A.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007b007fcd91dffad6f4d8251943472146cdca6c2f243f529eab69c0cde6ed5d