Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 6:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 6:41:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 6:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,531.17
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
170 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 170 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 6:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,531.17 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
Net sender
Unknown type
5,693.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
2,837.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,531.17 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
170 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:41:10 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:39:59 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
8,531.17 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:42:22 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
163.36 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:38:48 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate9 tx
14,408.6 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:37:36 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
298.58 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:44:42 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:36:25 A.M.
+5 min
5 tx
215.6 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:45:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,693.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:41:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2,837.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:41:30 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042006804f7ed11a2d21fef601b0032ed51db96dabd25ef98979045d1c01d0c
5,693.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:41:30 A.M.
From: 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a0013f2f96e3aef5d025423f3535fa83d29bd45a1c057b5959193a261de01