Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 4:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 4:21:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 4:22:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
41% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 85.37
Unexplained QUAI: 122.27
Explained QI: 237.54
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
2.1x previous minute
2.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
207.64 QUAI
237.54 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 208 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 4:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
237.54 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
237.54 QI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
85.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
85.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
207.64 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:21:17 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
100.43 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:20:05 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
85.37 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:22:29 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:18:53 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
226.74 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:17:39 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
119.07 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:23:42 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
93.88 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:24:54 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
60.83 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:16:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
237.54 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:21:49 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
237.54 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:21:49 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002d0050090cdec0cd7f437c141eeea307a071e4794ca5361e5aafe93d8221e3
85.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:21:22 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003000238ed965764aaa744edde78d5dd0805d7d4d8241e0729ca4a558be8ecf