Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 4:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 4:05:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 4:06:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,359.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 450.43
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
53
Observable rows
7
13.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
67
Asset volume
1,490.11 QUAI
450.43 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 1490 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 4:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,203.09 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
450.44 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
450.44 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
Net sender
Unknown type
102.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 450.43 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,203.09 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate53 tx
20,736.25 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:04:21 A.M.
+1 min
53 tx
1,490.11 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:05:35 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
62.26 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:03:07 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
20,203.09 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:06:48 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
102.79 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:01:55 A.M.
+3 min
27 tx
9,494.32 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:08:01 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:00:43 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
141.41 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:09:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.33 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
225.21 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:34 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006c000f97ca1b4c11834dd6a0de6271309c92f953fddc0afd32f19288d32aa3
225.21 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:34 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0060002badb3333dc77293fca6aa6a02638d82261939b880fabe71a00184c8cf
102.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:33 A.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f00309dffde9cc1d18bbea7469e67211192803203f71f1027cca71ede7dae
102.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:33 A.M.
From: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0073006ed700c426157ec66f3114365df9f974e7035b8aca40fb3e06c1dc2264
19,998.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:33 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d005d4abbea35256cc45127151444d5a4f1f843d8fd12dd5fa7c5a3179843
69.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:18 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x0008007a63be4de013278e37f981c5ff75ce6b9aad3781ff6a22d2c14fd395ce
87.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:18 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003300543b0251972b49b871200f197f2cb0edb423fb253a8f03fc10bc35b14e
