Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 3:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 3:35:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 3:36:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,183.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 3:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,999.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
102.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
102.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
82.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,999.26 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate3 tx
6,294.93 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:34:22 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:35:35 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:33:11 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
5,183.7 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:36:46 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
65.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:31:59 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
51.68 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:37:58 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
799.21 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:30:47 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
58.48 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:39:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.26 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:35:59 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
102.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:35:59 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003b002a3c0c59fb435031026d1d2ddec3712f2483c6e77fbe05be81ec7b1e0f
82.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:35:59 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00680014839299a6cf282df62653481cf52aa19e1626543723f65aba247f02b5
4,999.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:35:59 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f006d421ba03c2f84175c568df13c8d2c6d3830941d26b86b1b2bac44a4b3
