Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:59:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 3:00:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
53% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,279.96
Unexplained QUAI: 5,635.59
Explained QI: 447.12
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
9.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
11
91.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
11,915.56 QUAI
447.12 QI
Avg confidence
70.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 11916 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (47% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (53%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,231.1 QUAI across 2 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,803.83 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007Cc9f8E4B5741DbCB2efc1540e83e948164487
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,450.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
Net sender
Unknown type
1,745.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
Net receiver
Unknown type
780.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 447.12 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,803.83 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
1,326.29 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:58:29 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
11,915.56 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:59:41 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:57:17 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
3,036.56 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:00:53 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
1,239.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:56:05 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,219.84 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:02:04 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
6,608.33 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:54:53 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate63 tx
12,244.65 QUAI • 76 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:03:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,450.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007Cc9f8E4B5741DbCB2efc1540e83e948164487
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
98.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:59 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0042004521fc5a8af4c0eb68b804e4e8d90b80d459f718dcd17c90d9b5c222ff
780.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
Tx: 0x005e006d8879598ac78349441d6aa0a2e8d916fa6b31c21a9fa2e1fb249a9593
223.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:40 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0072004ae23b4ac45a3749245d1ca25cf9c34f073265409b6870f6fd2aa3c971
223.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:40 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003c002cc6831f3dba11b65d279d70c2a2aa136add8c02916c2e9ed83ca0d22c
2,450.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007Cc9f8E4B5741DbCB2efc1540e83e948164487
Tx: 0x0028006a7f96c4e30892e0bcf971723f6666d4a8a0ca69a38b6264200b4919e5
474.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:27 A.M.
From: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e0008431b0f8faa157bca7cbe4a55e1e72cc07077a7a6fbfc69e53972fc68
150.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:27 A.M.
From: 0x006a6A77c1441Ff0BcB6C602d48C9Eb71ae0D75d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e005cc3ddea480300295910f45a19b472dcd3dfc36e129aa051c311a776a6
1,745.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:27 A.M.
From: 0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003400524014790beaa6085a2ff1eeba3401b98231cdf66a7a99bec026be538f
433.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:27 A.M.
From: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d002fa8ea1f2f490e7a762788f80fe9a08b55edbe35093aa5adbfdf91fc95
146.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:27 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x007e7eecbe669d04C5687cF90692Bd58554Ed18d
Tx: 0x003000760a21f0ffa72da2a5137dec443fc8e2c498a4e1b89c401c3ad2fdf0ef
15 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:59:07 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
Tx: 0x003f0078b216f87c5c5722f4066125be423a586534685bbf66278dc76913487b
