Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:51:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,351.02
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 458.09
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
0 QUAI
458.09 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,132.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,132.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
175.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Net receiver
Unknown type
175.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
43.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:51:17 A.M.
-1 min
15 tx
10,775.73 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:50:04 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
3,531.22 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:52:29 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate15 tx
40,925.79 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:48:52 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
3,366.69 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:47:40 A.M.
+3 min
19 tx
15,661.95 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:53:41 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
6,608.33 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:54:53 A.M.
-5 min
15 tx
12,671.4 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:46:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,132.09 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:51:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
43.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:51:45 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0058005834484e5132be8a8cbcd6fa6c45613fb13a4e77a4b9a7139333f4c9e8
175.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:51:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Tx: 0x007a00598ff70fff317c331eb5c5ca71d48472ef340f1042c7f0825e5544c0ec
2,132.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:51:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Tx: 0x0055007a7c758f187be25bed49bc48d5979d1f5a9f15f2f76450606b168061f9