Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:38:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
45% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,644.95
Unexplained QUAI: 13,980.01
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
1.3x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
11
84.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
25,624.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 25625 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (55% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (45%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
8,579.02 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,684.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,183.53 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,148.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,216.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
25,624.96 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:38:03 A.M.
-1 min
17 tx
20,290.36 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:36:50 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
11,644.95 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:39:15 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate24 tx
35,038.32 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:35:36 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
11,728.8 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:40:27 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
13,119.12 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:34:24 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
7,431.71 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:41:40 A.M.
-5 min
17 tx
28,655.58 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,684.21 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:59 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
179.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005B8373068BfBaF84E7f6E1743B9f684Ef0255e
Tx: 0x0007003bcbb0f776149e0444b57337407cedae26b2df0b6b4c2875b4fcc6fa24
3,684.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Tx: 0x0062001ec0e332d56a0897af84d2355a09648d49cf56372a82f8d540fa6947eb
499.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Tx: 0x00260015c826151cdb7ce13701ca3bcff8d255c6c4444275400f6a1eac1d2817
318.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004cB648F9D61a71b427d3BebCc7AA6Fcb1A276E
Tx: 0x006d0015f298b60a5759000eec86604c206096205293a8b8a97cc899c4b3c489
2,148.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x0040000227c049d7e9c0cb7c91d77c494d89bfbb6079d2c02de14f9fa33bd7a4
436.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
Tx: 0x003000067a9d46da90d4a3c02bf86107f730778611e845f2965f0a0880f734bd
882.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:22 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B
Tx: 0x006f00464820e07506cf07b1cc14918590631590d39d18a2be2d3c2203a72c71
1,216.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Tx: 0x0076000b204d3d219dbfe3f32ee4bd04587595e1b6e554b6ff7e9ce167eff402
821.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Tx: 0x0061002668a4b342ceb18f6f3e96ef7613e75141c1799d9b65aacff709e66033
246.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005A9fC0caE2BD3f1921cae67066cc8bE0FF5145
Tx: 0x00660054732ad806535b687f19b24ff6bc6b64f37841c43ab9c4cfac35d90e79
1,211.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c15DF23fC40eAf28a1e79Aa575555177BCc5B
Tx: 0x0027000538b303655862b3c608ea12830a028e47dab78e752ef85a6e5388b048
