Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:36:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
30% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,021.67
Unexplained QUAI: 14,268.69
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
11
64.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
20,290.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 20290 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (70% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (30%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,367.64 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,429.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,242.59 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004863CfD13Cac71079219B5B81d10a5f0C4d83f
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,018.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004885aD86f442662B9Fa78BE320EF4a3FfE644a
Net receiver
Unknown type
577.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate24 tx
35,038.32 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:35:36 A.M.
+1 min
17 tx
20,290.36 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:36:50 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
13,119.12 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:34:24 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
25,624.96 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:38:03 A.M.
-3 min
17 tx
28,655.58 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
11,644.95 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:39:15 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
3,878.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
11,728.8 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:40:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,429.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
2,429.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
Tx: 0x002c004d1b2da4bfb33b7c75b54ba7585768b3687c5286932c5730e52f1feb23
106.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00560753f651e923979Bf19ABdd9315FBF75e3C0
Tx: 0x0010000520332d4f82c8c531be52f2e2e24d47ac4ec796ac48169d81792c6f6a
342.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
Tx: 0x004000568a275d2b9b0b1bfe272d22c06ee2094f80cded2da793e05f1b732e6c
409.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0055d86A564A4B4E159540cC0AA6EdfD132243A9
Tx: 0x000b005e18211dffb2e51aeaa2f7171a995eb7458f2990974865df03c415824a
361.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0051B5cDcf4f8e98c8D7BE45548C2Ca93f57a611
Tx: 0x0011007435dec27c59dd938cc5aaea679c82d59ba319fe32fc5a20442c0fe0cc
577.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004885aD86f442662B9Fa78BE320EF4a3FfE644a
Tx: 0x00060026f7bcfe6e378a6a89d7a8af2cd83d05c61036af9ab45f42172525f383
56.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:21 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005600346b488a5211bbcd28babfdd1f9f9eab9eba31eeec90a88ffd091bf26b
212.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:21 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000d0027fc3110fdd6f6c2b64d46de419bf168dee30b051d9d3720627c3ace42
143.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:21 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003e00515fd444b4b8293fbb2936215d49c027c371de3b95d34bc1904aa1bb51
1,018.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004863CfD13Cac71079219B5B81d10a5f0C4d83f
Tx: 0x006b002c4bc5e1d0a98fba6f9b0178aaf7c7ea3d3e61205cfc4844ccc3826e1a
364.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:36:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Tx: 0x007600399b73b5569a2a9e2aeab69886231831a3cb94a81d2aaf63bf2d8bf0ce
