Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:33:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
46% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,119.12
Unexplained QUAI: 15,536.46
Explained QI: 482.17
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
7.4x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
10
58.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
28,655.58 QUAI
482.17 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 28656 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
5,749.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,471.7 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
3,240.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,062.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 482.17 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
28,655.58 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
3,878.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
13,119.12 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:34:24 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
5,869.14 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:30:48 A.M.
-3 min
23 tx
12,654.34 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:29:35 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate24 tx
35,038.32 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:35:36 A.M.
+4 min
17 tx
20,290.36 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:36:50 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
23,819.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:28:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
2,062.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Tx: 0x0055004c03dfb085e377ffefeeb7771f24106ee89cfe65203a26ebd9658452ef
399.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Tx: 0x004c000f950bcafc1af66acef265c2ec3c737f7937340ee6f44382efd525fd6d
3,240.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: Kryptex miner
0x0040Fe7141Cc6f22cE9d869E336c1742BBD8Be9f
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0059006ab840e047d2139ad41e77e88c61704d8e949e5da88e33cd57deef4e0e
524.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0049EaB9d98B6A255234ed69372Be50166dD4E08
Tx: 0x0062006d11e89cd755e8a281e43bf138d771af277811e71a07baad2a089ed496
240.4 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:27 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00120068182e4fefb7587e3488b73541d4ff1e3d94011ac50a745fc685752d2f
973.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0049De67419714Cf8f98DEF0aBe240960eD04E72
Tx: 0x001a000392da1a847784b361e8ded8b4b27b27d70d4209b7cd8843653b9125e4
169.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Tx: 0x00390037011aa10824d69d5c3d7853fbd2afd34a0044130d8ca390873816f4fa
241.77 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:17 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0005004f0f874ab933478cf37b8b96429eb4ac3352f044f9b34a9aa5f76840cd
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:13 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x006b000601f29ffed202a228a968690b438971099142f13e4b46434bb67a58c6
749.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:33:13 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Tx: 0x004b005cfc84f51808717464818d892c9aebff85d6175963a6c61b9c0e138bf0