Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,878.84
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 436.06
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
3,878.84 QUAI
436.06 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 3879 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,154.73 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,132.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,022.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001dad5D2F60270eafE363fE025804EEf0c4C065
Net receiver
Unknown type
800 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
659.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 436.06 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
5,869.14 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:30:48 A.M.
-1 min
23 tx
12,654.34 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:29:35 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
3,878.84 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate17 tx
28,655.58 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:33:12 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
23,819.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:28:22 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
13,119.12 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:34:24 A.M.
-4 min
15 tx
9,370.08 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:27:10 A.M.
-5 min
8 tx
15,578.99 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:25:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,132.47 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
1,022.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Tx: 0x005a0050b6e99e797f1d31740c42c57faf6cf3c6a89269f3511dd0a70c831e2f
510.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003d0A679462BC30C22CAC78fb18366ca4b9f383
Tx: 0x007e0001dac27a0ee8fcac40526f51b9480fa7273f3cfec4676905b88d2089bf
218.03 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:46 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0036007f89b21d680c9eee1247a7e67947bcd515940969f89ca3c483dc84531c
218.03 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:46 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0028003f3b48e578a42eae8d79ad24b8bd17aff4ea05625bed6fe8d719a9b943
177.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:36 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x004f00072bad15d1e0f57e8f3c9066c7200290622b50f15602ac8aa8f81368ce
86.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:36 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000f00240cd319da09f14079ef869448233e22ac2733b080bac33feb71fcda8c
148.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003B9EB11D8fA06841E5AC54f997AEED3E593bCB
Tx: 0x005f00766fec080b30a2de4b1e4fed1860a788f1c2c1daf1f4332fe1a26e9fc0
1,132.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Tx: 0x002100193494e3ef5069103e0e17d4ced69092dd850c099e0f743dbe8a3ad1e6
400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:36 A.M.
From: 0x003964D53b88Ba4AfAdc36D7bBF347961Ea5b438
To: 0x001dad5D2F60270eafE363fE025804EEf0c4C065
Tx: 0x0041005587a27122accb6691726bac7ce2874d9926adfb0695e7f8ddd82f35ac
400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:31:36 A.M.
From: 0x005D8614be84319CA0F1ac2A2A603429f50E26A8
To: 0x001dad5D2F60270eafE363fE025804EEf0c4C065
Tx: 0x005f004c9ba070c384080c37d2c2e800bbaed1b9b1621cb2f31a6b1d98a21643