Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:15:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
19% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,078.28
Unexplained QUAI: 13,001.67
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
7
46.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
16,079.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F • 0x005cC0025EF1BF7E53a8a543a88AE5506d10a172.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 16080 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F • 0x005cC0025EF1BF7E53a8a543a88AE5506d10a172.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,047.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005cC0025EF1BF7E53a8a543a88AE5506d10a172
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,047.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,014.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Net receiver
Unknown type
664.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
651.62 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
16,079.95 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:15:07 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:13:55 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
16,147.56 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:16:19 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate27 tx
50,419.43 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:12:43 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
17,720.98 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:11:30 A.M.
+3 min
15 tx
18,522.48 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:17:31 A.M.
+4 min
28 tx
39,017.33 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:18:44 A.M.
-5 min
19 tx
11,678.91 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:10:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,047.34 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:15:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x005cC0025EF1BF7E53a8a543a88AE5506d10a172
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
100.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:15:56 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002188EC9984A54E57644339939F6BC639B2D181
Tx: 0x007700720a8baa1551440fecf90e4b1abfad06c0492c89bdf9c27da17dbb320c
349.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:15:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x007500208999db7739398d04c1d5d8f61323c40e156fb68c7b4848bfde4b846f
512.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:15:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001C7D0B0d2d77c169427df878DC30fcAAE55E4F
Tx: 0x0029004e8989fc170badbf78d720b75901e589d1cefa54135885952629c200ea
138.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:15:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001bF75Ff70E9e14c0d8e59f260986DD82b56166
Tx: 0x000700311ff8f62924f31ba2f35fa379052e7fd04e99c06b27005b961f0fc408
664.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:15:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Tx: 0x000f0019bc6289e967ab2e9e403184815d3b35d79de4073cf78ece1ab0ec29a1
264.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:15:44 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00208fe2A8cD671046f1Ca485841BFF4f230890e
Tx: 0x00140073cf495d7dae604f9c7dcaa788c3fc958d1a3dc85db0108387fe6c8d28
1,047.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:15:44 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x005cC0025EF1BF7E53a8a543a88AE5506d10a172
Tx: 0x003d006f0a1a8a43ce536008af85107f4e2c93158da55dc860a84fcd5ab63ade