Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:10:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
48% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,654.06
Unexplained QUAI: 6,024.85
Explained QI: 686.24
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
9
47.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
11,678.91 QUAI
686.24 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 11679 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (52% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (48%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,202.94 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,016.9 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,821.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,381.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,229.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 686.24 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
19 tx
11,678.91 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:10:18 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:09:06 A.M.
-2 min
30 tx
22,187.5 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:07:54 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
17,720.98 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:11:30 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
3,772.06 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:06:41 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate27 tx
50,419.43 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:12:43 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:13:55 A.M.
-5 min
54 tx
1,315.82 QUAI • 74 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:05:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,821.38 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:10:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
278.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:10:52 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Tx: 0x00610051256e566120e546ced8472d39e52025445d46caaac59e6ea103c078ff
1,229.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:10:52 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
Tx: 0x006b00043c592e2b8e108a5f2e13a8b277616f3e54ac4364a56c4d66dfc3e739
1,381.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:10:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
Tx: 0x00610051c7a3f62338d234b3f0ad5862622882f396988ac506c393f5c44adba5
241.87 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:10:22 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00110036f8b5a28b3ec131be24c5b6181723c738a50cacae4ed9df6d6c20d150
787.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
Tx: 0x003e0006b8d41322671a38067590336feffe8817216f82b4a14751f59b675ea1
1,821.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00039b46520d6239037f7Eef3ba9F55b3DD14647
Tx: 0x007c00470550a5ad5828de74f019f0aa1da8fffeb317f3782bb8e4695a3d25c5
155.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00082Dda7A19f1c4e423A4F6ceC2405965f3da88
Tx: 0x00130008346b5e4fd695e82a965f6209b10ad46d2266573a56599c7db361893f
222.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:10:03 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0010000e9bd50c9684aaae1a7bb48fee98151a2c8fd9d735852d1a56791ca5cc
222.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:10:03 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0017006ecf449c3704de09d9e883331f1d12d9f41d56145c90c46217d821626f