Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 1:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 1:57:00 A.M. to 09/19/2026, 1:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
39% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 101.29
Unexplained QUAI: 157.71
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
2.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
259 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 259 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 1:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (61% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
58.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
42.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
42.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
259 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:57:08 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate3 tx
20,329.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:55:56 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
101.29 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:58:21 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
133.96 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:54:45 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
100.24 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:53:34 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
292.05 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:59:32 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
52.9 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:00:44 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:52:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
58.71 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:57:17 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
42.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:57:36 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00480016dae3cef5b36324babd1965aa0ebfe075b8e91281abcd3ca08f93ef2e
58.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 1:57:17 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00600038e2e639bc001fe369fa1dc9cf5862d02defb23aa33566b02c77511b3d