Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 11:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 11:41:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 11:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 27,566.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 249.7
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
249.7 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 11:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,567.15 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
1,338.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,567.15 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
49.82 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:40:38 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:41:50 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
454.82 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:39:26 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate10 tx
28,381.23 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:43:02 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
47.52 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:38:14 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:44:14 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:36:59 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:45:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.03 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:41:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,229.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:41:50 P.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003003550679cc6cc11307225bd0b2f094d42c97a0c839454e32a3a19e8110a
1,338.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:41:50 P.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003200052fba6e96f73168d7f46a422602f369989295eba40c03e53d349e7a22
4,999.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:41:50 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0001007bb4448d680c00fbd2a386a31c236fb602df1d51ba5d48fad73c9dfdaf
19,999.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:41:50 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x003b0037f50fa78476d0e0d56321fc5cba9fe80fe4645c3f7c6c2a5292f4a5f1
249.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:41:47 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0035004cc89e1119759ea20f4fff007063d829717ce6740dde360301f4cd78ce