Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 11:09:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 11:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 656.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 248.73
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 21% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
91.82 QUAI
248.73 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 92 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
516.76 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
139.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
139.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Net sender
Unknown type
107.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Net sender
Unknown type
103.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 516.76 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
91.82 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:09:19 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
169.44 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:08:07 P.M.
-2 min
32 tx
1,195.22 QUAI • 46 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:06:55 P.M.
+2 min
12 tx
729.65 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:10:31 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
51.1 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:05:42 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
77.74 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:11:42 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate59 tx
2,638.68 QUAI • 73 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:04:30 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:12:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
139.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:09:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
139.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:09:38 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00300063af7bf764136de8c09e520296c082053826a42e5918c8aca1d1d0a880
102.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:09:38 P.M.
From: 0x00050C938E308A3192eC5D5741eFA3f7F008bEF4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e004af3f30e263f9ee9b9925fc0cd151e7e8d698191a4a93e1759a6d98cef
100.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:09:38 P.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b005d6f55d58a122684ee8868af8724e0227788d2e02a3704a8bde39d781f
103.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:09:38 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a00183f42c203796bbb2479cebedaef4869f9341f0744328ebbdc06c835e4
107.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:09:38 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00700026a4939b3df43bfa9dbff23496698254df444e8c4c4848d8d338b1f1aa
103.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:09:38 P.M.
From: 0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b005af7114d45772616370d1b19d107dfdde7a305317d3291630efe64e2c1