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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 10:59:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 10:59:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 11:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,523
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 452.38
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
12x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,412 QUAI
452.38 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 4412 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
3,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
Net sender
Unknown type
1,012 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,012 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
452.39 QI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 452.38 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

3,400 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781

All transfers in this selected minute

5 transactions
111 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:54 P.M.
From: 0x000ae73c67B84aB124C7692261dE5b36Bd81Ef28
To: 0x0044330E613F325a1cA542112F3449B843bF51a9
Tx: 0x004b003f2514f2b99165f34ea3a483831be1f7a378dc877680f75dfcc1a55d1f
3,400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:31 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
Tx: 0x0061002b95db8b98c51501c923f245b969bb5d7fa97fb8531ffb12cf4c20a28a
226.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:04 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005c006029840bde06dc59aad549d37c231e73b9bd5a051bac3070b6e8aeea82
226.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:04 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00760078323b3a0d6a8d64eebe0dc4fd5796180b76d13e63f7db9ba28595f4d6
1,012 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:03 P.M.
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Tx: 0x00040027d2628192386985b833d5dd867cda324862473d4172e8ffa89b8127de