Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:57:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:57:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:58:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,357.61
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 498.01
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
9.5x previous minute
25x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
9,357.61 QUAI
498.01 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9358 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:57:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,083.05 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
3,472.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
2,653.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Net sender
Unknown type
2,077.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
Net sender
Unknown type
879.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 498.01 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,083.05 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
9,357.61 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:57:18 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
986.13 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:56:06 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
377.75 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:58:29 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
1,134.67 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:54:54 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
55.8 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:53:42 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
4,412 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:59:42 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate10 tx
19,725.85 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:52:31 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
163.42 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:00:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,472.84 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:57:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
251.86 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:57:57 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0066003312b438a7d48353805af811d493d4d0189310b0726050a09d3229fe48
187.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:57:04 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004a00633ee6cfa8f34b67469335819813dd8a1c1cf6f1118b9acc33c63097b2
2,653.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:57:04 P.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f002314e39218e9ef7cebe3c6d60302570f2199ba6c0e68458625bc4bef5f
2,077.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:57:04 P.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00600027e41407b3c53a65e6d2eeb77436df3667a776eb702d1a08793985c75e
3,472.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:57:04 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0038005ae5b5aad0899ec7ab4e71e0ad6c0cd99016f3573e1a0088cbd912576b
879.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:57:04 P.M.
From: 0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00140030be46e85fce1667c6cfff59e793537a0fa024de2fe360178edc81673e
87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:57:04 P.M.
From: 0x00393C8D99cc5aac9052B828A22c31A247F4CC2E
To: 0x0050fa7e7baB2223a375Fab0DA4732E75F464303
Tx: 0x0055001c55a2aacf5a967b46216ba6498baa0a40a6fc795e7565cd5dcc84aba8
246.14 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:57:01 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000c003cc7eacac246063286c63faa9ee896315ae5aef7f499268bb727c17d6c