Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:21:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:22:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 142.58
Unexplained QUAI: 218.16
Explained QI: 509.16
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
3.6x previous minute
2.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
360.74 QUAI
509.16 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 361 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
509.17 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
509.17 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
142.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
142.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 509.16 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
360.74 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:21:11 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
99.9 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:20:00 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
142.58 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:22:24 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:18:48 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
173.1 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:17:37 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
20,079.16 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:23:36 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
100.27 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:24:47 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
49.38 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:16:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
256.86 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:21:33 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
256.86 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:21:33 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0019000c5f09d7c33636fb130b10ba8ee7dc8d8bc3b969be9c485539409e374b
142.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:21:10 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002e0047862492e39110313ddb125fb7c7f4623dd92f4a58ed4c54df16290825
252.3 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:21:08 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0075004bd06105249aded2c90f8479b1bb715e2fe99333b18b61faa66c733096